Chapter 8

Since the tycoon has returned, is there anything he can't do? Chapter 8

The tycoon's prodigal son's counterattack has transitioned to a paid release.

"Was America really unaware?"

After the Paris Peace Accords declared a ceasefire, if North Vietnam broke the agreement and attacked South Vietnam, South Vietnam would surely collapse. Was America really unaware of this?

They must have known.

They withdrew for political reasons. If so, it means that the U.S. could withdraw U.S. troops from South Korea at any time if a political emergency occurs. Of course, up until 2023, when I lived, U.S. troops had not been withdrawn.

"And by now."

The U.S. White House would feel considerable political pressure from the Vietnam War and would be looking for a reason to withdraw from the war.

And the reason for withdrawal would be the Paris Peace Accords that I know.

"The U.S. will soon withdraw more troops from Vietnam."

Therefore, I believe they will demand more troops from the Republic of Korea.

Why?

Because until the peace agreement is signed, the U.S. will hope that Vietnam remains in its current state.

This situation must be perfectly utilized to benefit the Republic of Korea and to prepare for the first oil shock that will occur in two years.

"Egypt will try to regain control of the Suez Canal."

In the future where I lived, the Suez Canal is of significant importance to Egypt.

"About 30% of the country's revenue."

It's truly enormous.

Upon reflection, Egypt has nothing else that generates money except for the Suez Canal.

"Accordingly, the Egyptian army, the main force of the Arab coalition, will cross the ceasefire line set with Israel and advance into the Sinai Peninsula in a surprise attack, and will not face much resistance from the Israeli army."

Initially, the Arab coalition will have the upper hand.

"Seongsu, is this your judgment? Or is it the analysis of the Republic of Korea's military?"

A senator asked me, with a look of disbelief that a young person like me could make such an analysis.

"It's Seongsu's judgment."

I hesitated, not knowing how to answer, so the president spoke through an interpreter. At the moment, the president was just listening to what I was saying to Senator Walker Smith.

"Originally, dictators."

They prefer speaking to listening, but the president has not yet completely transformed into a dictatorial dictator.

But next year, the Yushin Constitution will be promulgated.

The Republic of Korea will face an unprecedented situation where the constitutional government is suspended.

"Ah!"

The senator was immediately surprised.

"So?"

And the senator, who was asking me to speak again, seemed to be urging me.

"Israel will be initially taken aback but will declare a national mobilization and mobilize most of its troops to stop the Egyptian offensive, leading to a stalemate in the war."

"There are other Arab armies besides the Egyptian army."

"Yes, the Syrian army will attack the Golan Heights upon seeing the Egyptian advance. Initially, they will be taken aback, but ultimately, the Israeli army will push back the Syrian army."

As a result, Syria will lose more land to Israel.

"How can you be so confident?"

"The mindset of the youth is different."

"How can you verify that?"

"From the first to the third Middle East War, when the wars broke out, Israeli and Arab students studying in the U.S. packed their bags simultaneously."

"Is that so?"

"Although they packed their bags, their purposes were different. Israeli students hurried home to fight for their country in crisis, while Arab students packed their bags to escape conscription."

Thus, Israel could not help but win again.

The senator nodded in agreement with my words.

"The Israeli national character is manipulated."

The third Middle East War is also known as the Six-Day War.

Israel defeated the Arab coalition in exactly six days. But could Israeli students studying abroad really return home within those six days?

No.

They returned after being confident that their country would win after securing a perfect victory.

So, it's opportunistic.

And I think it's a propaganda operation to manipulate the Israeli national character to appear superior to Arab countries.

But!

Even if it was manipulated, now the whole world believes that Israeli students did that.

"The South Vietnamese youth."

They were in a hurry to flee to foreign countries like Thailand or Laos to avoid being dragged into the battlefield.

In contrast, North Vietnamese boys and girls, brainwashed by the Communist Party, did not hesitate to run into enemy lines with bombs.

Thus, South Vietnam was communized by North Vietnam, and subsequently, the entire Southeast Asia region was communized like a domino effect.

"I understand the difference in mindset. So, what do you want to say?"

"The current supplier of oil to the U.S. and the world is the Middle East region."

Oil is also extracted in South America and the North Sea, but it is expensive.

"Oil is primarily about economic efficiency."

Venezuela is the world's second-largest oil reserve after the Soviet Union.

But it is heavy oil mixed with a lot of sulfur, so the extraction cost is high. In contrast, the oil produced in the Middle East is light oil, with low extraction costs and high quality.

"In short."

Canada also has a lot of oil.

Oil mixed in the mud. And the U.S. is also an oil-producing country, but the U.S. imports oil rather than extracting its own.

"Until the development of shale oil extraction technology."

They viewed it as economically unviable.

The important fact here is that the U.S. and South Korea import most of their needed oil from the Middle East.

"Right."

"If the Middle East region becomes a war zone, oil extraction will be halted."

If oil extraction is halted in any region, supply will be insufficient, and the price of oil will inevitably rise.

"Moreover, Saudi Arabia has been demanding that the U.S. stop supporting Israel. Starting with the fourth Middle East War, they will reduce oil production. As a result, securing oil will become difficult, and world oil prices will skyrocket."

With the development of petrochemical technology, there are almost no products that cannot be made from oil.

If oil production is reduced, it would not be an exaggeration to say that factories around the world will stop.

"The U.S. economy is already accelerating into a recession. If oil prices skyrocket in this situation, the U.S. economy will enter a dark period, and the Republic of Korea, which has grown economically with absolute U.S. support, will face a shock greater than a shock. Please help us."

My logical and coherent words left the president of the Republic of Korea and the U.S. senator unable to hide their surprised expressions.

"Indeed!"

The first oil shock will occur in two years.

But based on the Republic of Korea's national capabilities, even if the first oil shock was anticipated now, two years would be insufficient time to prepare.

"And those two years of preparation."

Must be a perfect turning point in the Republic of Korea's economic sector.

Of course, even if I prepare perfectly for the first oil shock with the president, it won't result in any capital gain for me.

Why?

Because I don't have any capital yet.

So, I need to create my capital separately from preparing for the first oil shock.

In this process, the president must become my fountain of wealth.

"Accurate judgment."

The U.S. senator, who agrees with my words.

"As I told you, sir, with U.S. military supplies and weapons, Israel will win, and anti-American sentiment will grow among Arab countries. As a result, they will think about what weapons they can use."

While I am talking to the U.S. senator, the president is listening quietly but with a pleased smile.

"He should intervene."

His silence means he trusts me.

"They will focus more on weaponizing oil. Without oil, nothing can be made anymore."

The senator frowned at my words.

The Middle Eastern oil-producing countries are already weaponizing oil.

"Right."

"You need to prepare for that situation."

The senator nodded in agreement with my words.

"If you prepare for that and save the U.S. economy from the dark period, you could become a leading presidential candidate for the Democratic Party."

"Leading presidential candidate?"

The senator involuntarily swallowed dry.

A politician's dream is to gain power.

"The president too."

He will publish the Yushin Constitution because he believes he must be the one to do it.

"President Nixon, involved in the Watergate scandal, will resign."

Vice President Ford will become president without an election and will be the Republican presidential candidate.

"But if Carter runs as the Democratic presidential candidate."

He will block President Ford's re-election.

"If the senator prepares from now on."

It is possible for Senator Walker Smith, who has offered to be my godfather, to take Carter's place.

"If the relationship between the U.S. and China, which is getting closer through ping-pong diplomacy, deteriorates."

Especially, the U.S. will have no choice but to support the Republic of Korea more actively after seeing Southeast Asian countries, including Vietnam, being communized like a domino effect.

And all that support must be used to develop the Republic of Korea's heavy industry.

"The establishment of Daehyun Shipyard was around 1975."

It needs to be accelerated.

Not only accelerated, but I want to lead it with the president's permission.

"Politics is like the wind, and the moment that wind turns into a typhoon, you win."

Senator Walker Smith looked at me intently at my words.

"That's right."

Senator Walker Smith looked at me with the eyes of someone who recognizes that a young person understands politics well.

"Of course, I know."

When I lived as Chairman Lee Seojin, not as Lee Seongsu, I provided a significant amount of political donations to U.S. presidential candidates, how could I not know that?

"Godfather, the U.S. will definitely lose the Vietnam War."

"The U.S. has never lost."

The senator said firmly to me with an angry expression.